
Essent Group (ESNT) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Essent Group (ESNT) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Essent Group Ltd demonstrated a resilient financial performance with a marginal increase in book value per share, ending Q4 at $53.36, and a slight growth of insurance in force by 0.2% sequentially, contrasting with an industry downturn. The company has successfully captured a larger share of new insurance written (NIW), achieving a 15.6% share in Q4, outpacing the broader industry, which indicates stronger competitive positioning and growth potential. Furthermore, the company's future NIW estimates suggest robust growth trajectories of $48 billion, $57 billion, and $64 billion for 2025 through 2027, reinforcing a favorable outlook for insurance-in-force growth rates.
Bears say
Essent Group Ltd's financial outlook is negatively impacted by a decrease in persistency rates, which fell to 85.7% in Q4 from 86.6% in Q3/24, indicating a potential decline in customer retention and stability in premium income. Furthermore, the company experienced a 4.3% year-over-year decline in title insurance net premiums earned, driven by reduced housing transaction activity, which further pressures revenue generation. Additionally, the drop in PMIERs excess capital from $1.69 billion to $1.58 billion reflects a shrinking financial cushion, raising concerns about the company's capacity to withstand potential macroeconomic headwinds.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Essent Group and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Essent Group (ESNT) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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