
KREF Stock Forecast & Price Target
KREF Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc has demonstrated a strong performance in 2025, with shares increasing by 9.7% on an x-dividend basis, significantly outperforming its CMREIT peer group and the broader S&P 500. The company is well-positioned for future growth, having recently closed $224 million in new CRE bridge loans and aiming to redeploy capital tied up in real estate owned (REO) assets, which could enhance its distributable earnings per share by $0.12 quarterly. Despite challenges such as an increase in loan loss reserves and a competitive lending environment, KKR's focus on originating senior mortgage loans secured by high-quality commercial real estate, along with a disciplined capital preservation strategy, supports a positive outlook for long-term risk-adjusted returns for shareholders.
Bears say
The analysis reveals that KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. has experienced a decline in its loan portfolio, which fell to $5.9 billion, a decrease of 6.9% from the previous quarter, indicating potential challenges in maintaining asset value. Additionally, the book value per share has decreased to $14.76, influenced by increased CECL reserves and compounded by realized losses of $35.9 million due to a loan modification on a Life Science property. Lastly, the company's distributable earnings estimate for 2025 has been cut from $0.80 to $0.70 per share, reflecting ongoing loan losses and a dividend yield that trails behind the peer group median, which could signal concerns about competitive positioning and financial health.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of KKR Real Estate Finance Trust and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
KREF Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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