
Spotify (SPOT) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Spotify (SPOT) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Spotify Technology has achieved significant financial milestones, reporting a premium revenue growth of approximately 18% year-over-year and ad-supported revenue growth of around 27.5%, driven by pricing power and improvements in advertising monetization tools. In the first quarter of 2025, the company has guided for a gross margin increase of 390 basis points year-over-year to 31.5% and an operating profit of €548 million, reflecting robust operational performance. The firm's ongoing expansion of its user base, which includes nearly 700 million monthly active users and over 250 million paying subscribers, positions it favorably for continued revenue and profitability growth.
Bears say
Spotify Technology faces a challenging financial outlook due to a notable deceleration in subscription average revenue per user (ARPU), which decreased from 11% growth in 3Q24 to 7% in the following quarter, attributed to tougher year-over-year comparisons following significant price hikes. The company's revenue guidance for 1Q25 anticipates only 15% constant currency growth, representing a 200 basis points slowdown from the previous quarter as ARPU growth continues to weaken, raising concerns over the sustainability of margins amidst expected persistent royalty payments. Additionally, a reduction in full-time headcount by 21% in 2024 highlights operational adjustments amidst pressure on margins, with forecasts suggesting that this trend may extend into the following quarters as competitive pressures intensify.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Spotify and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Spotify (SPOT) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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