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Vale S.A. (VALE) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Vale S.A. (VALE) Analyst Ratings

Based on 25 analyst ratings
Buy
Strong Buy 32%
Buy 28%
Hold 32%
Sell 8%
Strong Sell 0%

Bulls say

Vale has demonstrated a solid performance in Q4 2023, with EBITDA surpassing expectations by 2% and 4% compared to RBCe and consensus estimates, respectively. The company's strategic focus on adapting its business toward steel decarbonization positions it for sustained growth, particularly in its Iron Solutions division, alongside continued enhancements in the Base Metals segment. Furthermore, Vale's production guidance indicates significant growth potential, projecting output to increase from 321 Mt in 2023 to a range of 340 to 360 Mt by 2026, bolstered by a notable 23% increase in steel exports from China year-to-date.

Bears say

Vale's stock outlook remains negative due to a significant decline in its P/NAV multiple, which fell from 0.63x to 0.53x following the Brumadinho disaster, indicating a reduced valuation for the company's net asset value. Additionally, global steel demand is projected to decrease by 2.4% to 1,751 Mt in 2024, further exacerbated by a 3.6% year-over-year decline in crude steel production in China during the first nine months of 2024. Despite stronger performance in nickel and copper sales, the overall weakness in the iron ore segment, coupled with a 5% decline in benchmark iron ore prices, suggests ongoing challenges for Vale's core business operations.

Vale S.A. (VALE) has been analyzed by 25 analysts, with a consensus rating of Buy. 32% of analysts recommend a Strong Buy, 28% recommend Buy, 32% suggest Holding, 8% advise Selling, and 0% predict a Strong Sell.

This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Vale S.A. and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.

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FAQs About Vale S.A. (VALE) Forecast

Analysts have given Vale S.A. (VALE) a Buy based on their latest research and market trends.

According to 25 analysts, Vale S.A. (VALE) has a Buy consensus rating as of Jul 1, 2025. This rating is provided by third-party analysts and is not investment advice from Public.com.

Wall Street analysts have set a price target of $13.79, reflecting a 0.00% increase from the current stock price.

Financial analysts have set a price target of $13.79, indicating a 0.00% increase from the current stock price, but ratings and forecasts are frequently updated based on market conditions, earnings reports, and industry trends. This prediction is provided by third-party analysts and is not investment advice from Public.com.

Vale S.A. (VALE)


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